As the forex market adjusts to new data and anticipates Powell's speech, Gold declines sharply, contrasting the rises in EUR/USD and GBP/USD.
- EUR/USD climbed to 1.0800, a 0.29% increase; GBP/USD rose to 1.2559, up 0.31%.
- In commodities, WTI Crude Oil increased by 1.19% to $79.19; Gold fell by 1.16% to $2,347.45.
- Upcoming economic events include UK labor data and U.S. inflation figures, with Fed Chair Powell speaking.
Currency Movements Overview
In the forex market on May 13, 2024, the EUR/USD pair saw a rise to 1.0800, marking an increase of 0.29%. In similar movements, the GBP/USD ascended by 0.31% to 1.2559 while the AUD/USD increased by 0.24% to 0.6616. The USD/JPY experienced a smaller climb of 0.09%, reaching 155.87. Meanwhile, the USD/CAD had a modest rise of 0.04% to 1.3675. Contrarily, the Dollar Index faced a slight decline, dropping by 0.17% to 104.995.
In the commodities sector, WTI Crude Oil went up by 1.19% to $79.19, and Brent Oil also rose by 0.95% to $83.58. Natural Gas witnessed a significant increase of 1.69%, reaching $2.29. The precious metals sector, however, faced a downturn with Gold decreasing by 1.16% to $2,347.45 and Silver declining by 0.20% to $28.45. On the cryptocurrency front, BTC/USD surged by 2.93% to a notable $63,120.00.
Economic Events Recap: The economic data released also provided interesting insights.
The NZD BusinessNZ Services Index saw a minor improvement to 47.2. However, the NZD Food Price Index experienced a decline of 0.5%. Japan's M2 Money Stock maintained a steady growth rate at 2.5% year-over-year. Australian NAB Business Confidence remained stable at 1, reflecting steady business sentiment. Noteworthy, New Zealand’s inflation expectations saw an increase to 2.50% from 2.33%.
Events Ahead: Several key economic events have lined up for the coming days.
In the UK, the Claimant Count Change and the Average Earnings Index will provide insights into the labor market, while the Unemployment Rate is expected to drop slightly to 4.2%. In the U.S., attention will turn to the Core PPI and PPI month-over-month, both pivotal for understanding inflation trends. Additionally, remarks from Fed Chair Powell at 7:00 PM will be closely watched for any indications of shifts in monetary policy.
Gold (XAU/USD) Price Forecast: Technical Outlook
Gold’s pivot point, essentially the price level considered pivotal for determining market sentiment, is set at $2349.65, represented by the green line on the chart. Moving up, we have three resistance levels where the price may face upward pressure: the first is at $2360.66, followed by $2379.20, and the highest at $2393.05. These levels are where sellers might emerge, making it harder for prices to climb further.
Conversely, the support levels below our pivot point, where buyers could potentially come in stronger, preventing further declines, are at $2332.58, $2320.00, and the lowest at $2282.45. These are critical zones where, if the price drops, it might find a floor and potentially bounce back.
Gold Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
For new traders, understanding these levels can help you anticipate where prices might stall or reverse, whether you’re looking to buy or sell. A simple strategy could involve looking for opportunities to buy if prices approach support levels with signs of stabilizing or to sell if prices struggle to rise past resistance levels.
Conclusion: If you're considering entering a trade, you might consider buying above $2345, taking profit at $2365, and setting a stop loss at $2318 to protect against unexpected declines.
Trading Signal:
- Entry Price: Buy Above $2345
- Take Profit: $2318
- Stop Loss: $2365
Start Trading Gold (XAU/USD) Today
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Technical Outlook
The green line on the chart, which represents a pivot point, is at $1.07804 in today's 4-hour chart analysis of the EUR/USD pair. This serves as a baseline for determining directional movement in the market. Above this pivot, there are three resistance levels: the immediate level at $1.08011, then $1.08441, and finally $1.08945, which traders should keep an eye on as potential roadblocks where the price might find it difficult to move higher.
On the downside, the support levels are situated at $1.07666, $1.07323, and the more robust $1.07253. These points may act as cushions where the price could stabilize and rebound if it falls.
Technical Indicators:
- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 58.04, suggesting that the market is neither overbought nor oversold, providing a neutral signal for traders.
- The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) lines, which include the 9-day EMA at $1.07804, closely align with the pivot point, reinforcing it as a key level.
EUR/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
Conclusion: For trading strategies today, consider entering a buy position if the EUR/USD pair rises above $1.07666, targeting a take profit at $1.08441, with a stop loss set at $1.07323. This plan is based on the current support and resistance levels and aims for a cautious approach amid the observed market conditions.
Trading Signal:
- Entry Price: Buy Above 1.07666
- Take Profit: 1.08441
- Stop Loss: 1.07323
Start Trading EUR/USD Today
GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical Outlook
As of today, the GBP/USD shows compelling technical positioning on the 4-hour chart. Currently, the pivot point, a key indicator of market sentiment and potential turning points, stands at $1.25352. Traders should keep an eye on this pivotal price level for clues about directional moves.
The currency pair faces immediate resistance at $1.25575. Should it push past this level, the next hurdles are set at $1.25983 and then at $1.26248. On the downside, the initial support is near today’s low at $1.25390, followed by more robust levels at $1.24877 and $1.23947. These support levels could potentially halt further declines and offer rebound opportunities.
Technical Indicators:
- RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 53.16, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, providing a neutral market outlook.
- EMA (Exponential Moving Average): The 9-day EMA is at $1.25352, coinciding with the pivot point, suggesting a significant support level that could influence future price movements.
GBP/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
Conclusion: Considering the current setup, a strategic approach would be to initiate a buy if the GBP/USD pair rises above $1.25390, with an objective to take profits at $1.26128. Conversely, setting a stop loss at $1.24877 could protect against unexpected downward movements.
Trading Signal:
- Entry Price: Buy Above 1.25390
- Take Profit: 1.26128
- Stop Loss: 1.24877
Start Trading GBP/USD Today
Stay ahead of market movements. Subscribe to FlowBroker’s daily insights and updates!
*The information contained on this page does not constitute a record of our prices, nor does it constitute an offer or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. FlowBroker accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that may result therefrom. Any person who uses it does so at their own risk.
