Amidst economic shifts, gold declines to $2,320. Stay updated with the latest on the Australian Dollar and Canadian Dollar in our concise report.
- Gold prices fell to $2,320, a 1.50% drop, as the Dollar's strength made it more expensive for other currency holders.
- The EUR/USD pair declined by 0.21%, closing at 1.0879, amid the Euro's struggle against a surging Dollar.
- Bitcoin bucks the trend, rising 1.34% to $69,729, as digital assets retain investor interest despite broader market uncertainties.
Currency Movements Overview
Gold, traditionally seen as a safe haven in times of economic uncertainty, witnessed a decline, settling at $2,320, down by 1.50%. This movement was largely attributed to dollar strength, as evidenced by the slight increase in the Dollar Index. In times of dollar appreciation, gold typically loses its luster as it becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies, dampening demand.
Whereas, the EUR/USD pair fell by 0.21%, closing at 1.0879, as the Euro struggled against a stronger Dollar. USD/JPY dropped significantly by 0.76% to 154.91, reflecting a safe-haven demand for the Yen amid global uncertainty. GBP/USD was slightly down by 0.19%, ending the day at 1.2780, influenced by mixed economic signals from the UK.
USD/CAD gained 0.40% to 1.3682, as the Canadian Dollar weakened alongside falling oil prices. AUD/USD declined by 0.60%, settling at 0.6648, pressured by disappointing Australian economic data. The Dollar Index maintained a slight uptick, closing at 104.095 (+0.02%), indicating steady demand for the US Dollar amid global market volatility.
- Crude Oil WTI: Fell by 1.75% to $72.92 per barrel.
- Brent Oil: Decreased by 1.66% to $77.06 per barrel.
- Natural Gas: Dropped by 2.72%, closing at $2.681.
- Gold: Experienced a sharp decline of 1.33%, finishing at $2,337.75.
- Silver: Plunged by 3.76%, ending at $29.628.
In contrast to traditional markets, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) rose by 1.34%, trading at $69,729, highlighting continued investor interest in digital assets despite broader market uncertainties.
Economic Events Recap: June 04
On June 4th, significant economic events unfolded, impacting various major currencies and economic indicators.
- Australia: Company Operating Profits fell by 2.5% (previous 7.1%), and the Current Account deficit widened to -4.9B from a surplus of 5.6B.
- Japan: The 10-year Bond Auction saw a yield of 1.05% with a bid-to-cover ratio of 3.7, compared to the previous 0.86% and 3.2, respectively.
- Switzerland: CPI m/m remained stable at 0.3%.
- France: Government Budget Balance showed a deficit of -91.6B, worsening from -52.8B.
- Spain: Unemployment Change decreased by 58.7K, slightly better than the forecasted -55.4K.
- Germany: Unemployment Change increased by 25K, higher than the expected 7K.
- US: JOLTS Job Openings were at 8.06M, below the forecast of 8.37M, and Factory Orders rose by 0.7%, in line with expectations. The RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism index fell to 40.5 from 45.2.
Events Ahead: June 5
As we edge closer to June 5, a significant day for economic announcements is approaching. With a series of impactful events planned, here's what you should keep an eye on.
- Australia: GDP q/q is expected to remain at 0.2%, indicating slow economic growth.
- US: ADP Non-Farm Employment Change is projected at 173K, down from the previous 192K.
- Canada: The Bank of Canada (BoC) Rate Statement and Overnight Rate announcement, with expectations set at 4.75%, and a potential increase to 5.00%.
- US: Final Services PMI is anticipated to hold at 54.8, while ISM Services PMI is forecasted to rise to 51.0 from 49.4.
- Canada: The BoC Press Conference will provide further insights into monetary policy adjustments.
Overall, the forex and commodity markets are reacting to a mix of economic indicators and geopolitical developments, setting the stage for further potential volatility. For detailed analysis and market insights, visit flow-broker.com
Gold (XAU/USD) Price Forecast: Technical Outlook
Today, gold prices tumbled by 1.50%, closing at $2,320, pressured by a stronger US Dollar and rising bond yields. The upcoming economic data, including US Services PMI, could further impact gold’s safe-haven appeal. Traders should watch for any shifts in economic sentiment that might drive gold prices either higher or lower.
Resistance levels are observed at $2,341.38, $2,362.50, and $2,383.05, suggesting potential ceilings for bullish momentum. On the flip side, support is established at $2,303.38, with subsequent levels at $2,285.15 and $2,267.90, which could provide floors for bearish pullbacks.
Gold Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
The RSI indicator at 39 points to a bearish undercurrent, while the 50 EMA at $2,347 aligns closely with the first resistance level, potentially acting as a dynamic resistance. The technical analysis advises a cautious approach: consider selling below $2,325, targeting $2,300, and placing a stop loss at $2,340 to mitigate risk.
Trading Signal:
- Entry Price: Sell Below $2,325
- Take Profit: $2,300
- Stop Loss: $2,340
Start Trading Gold (XAU/USD) Today
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Technical Outlook
The pair slid by 0.60% to 0.6648, primarily due to weak Australian economic data, including a significant drop in company operating profits and a widening current account deficit. The pivot point is established at $0.6651, suggesting a neutral market sentiment.
Resistance levels are set at $0.6671, $0.6699, and $0.6723, indicating potential ceilings for price advances. Conversely, support forms at $0.6620, with additional floors at $0.6591 and $0.6559.
AUD/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
The RSI, mildly bearish at 47, coupled with the 50 EMA closely aligned at $0.6647, reinforces the pivot's validity. Traders should consider a sell stop at $0.6629, targeting profits at $0.6584, while capping risk with a stop loss at $0.6664. Tomorrow’s GDP figures are crucial, as a lower-than-expected reading could push the AUD/USD further down.
Trading Signal:
- Entry Price: Sell Stop 0.66290
- Take Profit: 0.65843
- Stop Loss: 0.66635
Start Trading AUD/USD Today
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Technical Outlook
The USD/CAD pair rose by 0.40% to 1.3682, bolstered by declining crude oil prices and ahead of the Bank of Canada’s rate decision. With the possibility of a rate hike, traders should brace for increased volatility. If the BoC signals a more hawkish stance, we could see further strength in the USD/CAD.
The pivotal level at $1.3661 plays a crucial role, acting as a significant reference point for potential price movements. Immediate barriers to upward movement are observed at $1.3687, $1.3705, and $1.3728, indicating possible resistance levels that could impede further advances.
On the support side, initial support is identified at $1.3621, followed by $1.3604 and $1.3580. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is positioned at $1.3666, suggesting that the current price is in close proximity to this crucial technical indicator. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 51, indicating a neutral market sentiment with no strong inclination toward either buying or selling.
USD/CAD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
The technical view advises a cautious approach, as the pair remains near the pivot point and the 50 EMA. A breach below the pivotal level of $1.3661 may indicate a bearish trend, with immediate targets at the support levels of $1.3621 and $1.3604. Conversely, a breach above the resistance level at $1.3687 might signal further bullish momentum, aiming for the subsequent resistance levels at $1.3705 and $1.3728.
In summary, the outlook for USD/CAD maintains a cautiously bearish stance below the $1.3661 pivot point. Immediate resistance levels at $1.3687, $1.3705, and $1.3728 could restrict any potential upward movements. On the downside, support levels at $1.3621, $1.3604, and $1.3580 are crucial to monitor for indications of further bearish momentum.
Trading Signal:
- Entry Price: Buy Above 1.36598
- Take Profit: 1.37336
- Stop Loss: 1.36252
Start Trading USD/CAD Today
We hope this brief helps you understand today’s market movements. If you have any questions or need further clarification, feel free to reach out. Subscribe to FlowBroker’s daily insights and updates. Happy trading!
